In this argument for The Bulwark, I talk about the trouble Orbán is in and the danger that he may try to cancel parliamentary elections in April.
“HUNGARIANS PLAN TO VOTE in parliamentary elections in six weeks, and if the polls are correct, not only will Fidesz, the party of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, lose, it could easily get clobbered. Over the last few months, independent research firms have consistently shown Péter Magyar’s opposition party, Tisza, leading Fidesz by around 10 points among likely voters. But an eye-popping poll conducted in mid-February and released last week by Medián, one of Hungary’s most respected pollsters, appears to be pushing Orbán toward the brink. According to Medián, Tisza has jumped ahead of Fidesz by 20 points, a lead so large it would almost certainly deliver Péter Magyar a parliamentary supermajority. That would allow him to change the constitution and dismantle the kleptocratic mafia state Orbán has built up over the last sixteen years.”
Read the full article here.
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